Do Agents Know When They Succeed? Calibrating Agent Confidence from Internal Representations

arXiv cs.AISeptember 10, 2026en

arXiv cs.AI

AI Global Wire

arXiv:2609.09448v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As agentic systems getting adopted rapidly in safety critical applications, it is vital to measure the confidence associated with the agentic actions. In comparison to the traditional machine learning systems, agentic workflows have complex failure modes with planning, tool invocation and dynamic environment interactions. In this paper, we investigate whether model's internal representations provide stronger signals of eventual task success in multi-turn agentic setups. We introduce two complementary methods: Latent Trajectory Dynamics (LTD), which summarizes changes in residual-stream representations across an an interaction trajectory, and th

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