Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade

The DecoderOctober 6, 2026en

Microsoft published a bearish AI outlook from Nobel economist Daron Acemoglu. He predicts about 1.5 percent GDP growth over ten years and at most five percent of jobs replaced. Bigger models won't move the needle, he argues. What's missing are practical apps that change how work gets done. The article Microsoft publishes Nobel economist's bearish AI forecast of just 1.5% GDP growth over a decade appeared first on The Decoder .

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