Nvidia's binding constraint moves from demand to cost, and it has now put a number on both
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For the first time in this cycle, Nvidia has told investors where its gross margin will bottom out and how far short of demand its supply will fall - two admissions that shift the question from whether the AI buildout continues to who absorbs its rising input costs. Management guided gross margin down from 75.0% to a trough of 71-72% by the fourth quarter, directly blamed memory pricing, and capped fiscal 2028 revenue growth at about 70% against demand it put at nearer 100%. Neither disclosure is a demand warning. Both say the company is now managing a shortage rather than a market.
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